• Chris Jastrzembski

Conference tournament scenarios for remaining spots in the final week of the regular season

Updated: Apr 29


Courtesy: David Silverman Photography/Brown Athletics

UPDATED WEDNESDAY AT 2:45 PM EDT WITH SOCON SCENARIOS

UPDATED FRIDAY AT 9:20 PM EDT WITH UPDATED IVY LEAGUE SCENARIOS


We're into the final real week of the college lacrosse regular season (Duke-Notre Dame is the final regular season game on May 7). Four of the nine eligible conferences already have all of their conference tournament participants locked in.


  • America East: Binghamton, UAlbany, UMBC, Vermont

  • ASUN: Air Force, Bellarmine, Robert Morris, Utah

  • Big East: Denver, Georgetown, Marquette, Villanova

  • Patriot League: Army West Point, Boston University, Bucknell, Lehigh, Loyola, Navy

Five of them still have at least one spot open. But the focus is on the Ivy League, who has one team in being Brown, and the CAA, who has one team in being Towson. The SoCon has two teams in, while the MAAC and NEC have three of four possible teams locked in.


Let's go through all the possible scenarios in those conferences.


IVY LEAGUE


IN: Brown

OUT: Dartmouth


It's going to be really important to have the Ivy League Tournament tiebreaker scenarios handy. Here's how things currently stand, with a five-way tie for first:

  1. Cornell (3-2)

  2. Harvard (3-2)

  3. Brown (3-2)

  4. Yale (3-2)

  5. Princeton (3-2)

  6. Penn (3-3)

  7. Dartmouth (0-5)

We won't get into why the standings look like they do because it doesn't matter right now. Penn is the only Ivy League team that's finished conference play.


There's a total of eight different scenarios for how the Ivy League could finish. Here's the slate for the final week of Ivy play:

  • Cornell @ Princeton (Saturday, Noon on ESPN+)

  • Dartmouth @ Brown (Saturday, 1 PM on ESPN+)

  • Harvard @ Yale (Saturday, 2 PM on ESPNU)

Cornell-Princeton and Harvard-Yale are win and in scenarios, with the loser hoping for the beat. Brown is definitely in with a win.


SCENARIO #1: Cornell, Brown, Yale win

  1. Brown (4-2) (2-0 against Cornell and Yale)

  2. Cornell (4-2) (1-1 against Brown and Yale)

  3. Yale (4-2) (0-2 against Brown and Cornell)

  4. Penn (3-3) (1-1 against Harvard and Princeton; Better goal differential)

  5. Harvard (3-3) (1-1 against Penn and Princeton; Beat Princeton)

  6. Princeton (3-3) (1-1 against Harvard and Penn; Lost to Harvard)

There's two three-way ties and go to at least the second tiebreaker (best cumulative records against all other teams tied at that spot).


In the three-way tie between Brown, Cornell, and Yale, the Bears are 2-0 against Cornell and Yale and get the top spot. Cornell beat Yale earlier in the season, giving the Big Red the two seed and the Bulldogs the three seed.


In the three-way tie between Harvard, Penn, and Princeton, all three teams are tied at 1-1 against each other. We'd have to go to the third tiebreaker (team that has beaten the highest seeded team outside of the tie, which in this case is Brown). Despite Harvard and Princeton both beating Brown, the Ivy League's policy calls for a singular team to break the tie. So we move on to the next tiebreaker (goal differential between the tied teams with a maximum of six goals per game).


With that, here's how it plays out:

  • Penn: +2 (-1 vs. Princeton, +3 vs. Harvard)

  • Harvard: 0 (-3 vs. Penn, +3 vs. Princeton)

  • Princeton: -2 (+1 vs. Penn, -3 vs. Harvard)

So Penn gets the #4 seed. Harvard is five due to their head-to-head win over Princeton.


SCENARIO #2: Princeton, Brown, Yale win

  1. Princeton (4-2) (1-1 against Brown and Yale; Beat Penn; More to this)

  2. Brown (4-2) (1-1 against Princeton and Yale; Beat Penn; More to this)

  3. Yale (4-2) (1-1 against Brown and Princeton; Beat Penn; More to this)

  4. Penn (3-3) (2-0 against Cornell and Harvard)

  5. Cornell (3-3) (1-1 against Harvard and Penn)

  6. Harvard (3-3) (0-2 against Cornell and Penn)

Another scenario with two three-way ties.


In the three-way tie between Cornell, Harvard, and Penn, the Quakers are 2-0 against Cornell and Harvard and are the four seed. Cornell is five and Harvard is six. It's important we find this out before deciding the top three seeds.


In the three-way tie between Brown, Princeton, and Yale, we go to the third tiebreaker again with Penn being highest seed outside of the tie. But they all beat Penn!


So then we go to goal differential between the tied teams (maximum of six goals per game). Which is what follows:

  • Princeton: +4

  • Brown: 0

  • Yale: -4

So Princeton is one because of this. Brown is two due to their win over Yale, and the Bulldogs are three.


SCENARIO #3: Cornell, Brown, Harvard win

  1. Brown (4-2) (1-1 against Cornell and Harvard; Beat Yale; More to this)

  2. Cornell (4-2) (1-1 against Brown and Harvard; Beat Yale; More to this)

  3. Harvard (4-2) (1-1 against Brown and Cornell; Beat Yale; More to this)

  4. Yale (3-3) (2-0 against Penn and Princeton)

  5. Princeton (3-3) (1-1 against Penn and Yale)

  6. Penn (3-3) (0-2 against Princeton and Yale)

Another scenario with two three-way ties, and another where we have to decide four through six first.


In the three-way tie between Yale, Princeton, and Penn, the Bulldogs are 2-0 against Princeton and Penn and get the four seed. Princeton is five and Penn is six.


In the three-way tie between Brown, Cornell, and Harvard we go to the third tiebreaker again with Yale being highest seed outside of the tie. But they all beat Yale!


So it's once again goal differential between the tied teams. As it stands:

  • Brown: +4

  • Cornell: +1

  • Harvard: -5

Brown is one with the better goal differential. Cornell beat Harvard in the head-to-head and is the two seed, while Harvard is the three seed.


SCENARIO #4: Princeton, Brown, Harvard win

  1. Harvard (4-2) (2-0 against Brown and Princeton)

  2. Princeton (4-2) (1-1 against Brown and Harvard)

  3. Brown (4-2) (0-2 against Harvard and Princeton)

  4. Penn (3-3) (1-1 against Cornell and Yale; Beat Harvard and Cornell)

  5. Cornell (3-3) (1-1 against Penn and Yale; Beat Harvard, lost to Penn)

  6. Yale (3-3) (1-1 against Cornell and Penn; Lost to Harvard)

Another with two three-way ties.


In the three-way tie between Brown, Cornell, and Harvard, the Crimson are 2-0 against Brown and Princeton and get the top spot. Princeton beat Brown earlier in the season, giving the Tigers the two seed and the Bears the three seed.


In the three-way tie between Cornell, Penn, and Yale, we go to the third tiebreaker again with Harvard being highest seed outside of the tie. Cornell and Penn defeated Harvard, Yale does not which means the Bulldogs finish 6th and are out. Penn beat Cornell earlier in the season, giving the Quakers the four seed and the Big Red are out as they would finish 5th.


So those are the four scenarios with Brown beating Dartmouth, which we think will happen. What if they don't? We wouldn't have a pair of three-way ties, but we would get a four-way tie for the final two spots. But it gets easier to break things down.


SCENARIO #5: Cornell, Dartmouth, Yale win

  1. Cornell (4-2) (Beat Yale)

  2. Yale (4-2) (Lost to Cornell)

  3. Princeton (3-3) (2-1 against Brown, Harvard, and Penn; Better goal differential between Brown, Harvard, and Penn)

  4. Brown (3-3) (1-2 against Harvard, Penn, and Princeton; 1-1 against Harvard and Penn; Best goal differential against Cornell)

  5. Penn (3-3) (1-2 against Brown, Harvard, and Princeton; 1-1 against Brown and Harvard; Beat Harvard)

  6. Harvard (3-3) (2-1 against Brown, Penn, and Princeton; 1-1 against Brown and Penn; Lost to Penn)

Cornell beat Yale in the regular season, meaning Cornell is the top seed and Yale is the two seed.


For the final two spots, we get a four-way tie between Brown, Harvard, Penn, and Princeton. Harvard and Princeton are 2-1 against the three teams they faced, while Brown and Penn were 1-2. But the policy calls for a singular team to break the tie. Both Brown and Penn beat the top seed in Cornell, which also does not fulfill the tiebreaker.


So we go to goal differential between the teams (maximum six goals per game). Here's how that stands:

  • Princeton: +4 ( +8 vs. Brown BUT cannot be more than six goals, -3 vs. Harvard, +1 vs. Penn)

  • Harvard: +1 (+1 vs. Brown, -3 vs. Penn, +3 vs. Princeton)

  • Penn: 0 (-2 vs. Brown, +3 vs. Harvard, -1 vs. Princeton)

  • Brown: -5 (-1 vs. Harvard, +2 vs. Penn, -8 vs. Princeton BUT cannot be more than six goals)

So Princeton is the #3 seed.


As for the #4 seed, Brown, Harvard, and Penn were 1-1 against each other. The Ivy League continues down the tiebreaker list, which means we go to the next tiebreaker (goal differential against the highest seed outside the tie).


Brown and Penn defeated Cornell, but with a +5 goal differential, the Bears get the #4 seed over Penn who had a +4 goal differential. Penn defeated Harvard head-to-head and finish 5th.


SCENARIO #6: Princeton, Dartmouth, Yale win

  1. Yale (4-2) (Beat Princeton)

  2. Princeton (4-2) (Lost to Yale)

  3. Brown (3-3) (2-1 against Cornell, Harvard, and Penn, beat Penn)

  4. Penn (3-3) (2-1 against Brown, Cornell, and Harvard, lost to Brown)

  5. Cornell (3-3) (1-2 against Brown, Harvard, and Penn, beat Harvard)

  6. Harvard (3-3) (1-2 against Brown, Cornell, and Penn, lost to Cornell)

Yale beat Princeton in the regular season, meaning Yale is the top seed and Princeton is the two seed.


In the four-way tie for the final two spots, Brown and Penn are 2-1 against the three teams they faced, while Cornell and Harvard were 1-2. Brown beat Penn last week, giving Brown the three seed and Penn the four seed. Cornell is five and Harvard is six and are both out.


SCENARIO #7: Cornell, Dartmouth, Harvard win

  1. Cornell (4-2) (Beat Harvard)

  2. Harvard (4-2) (Lost to Cornell)

  3. Princeton (3-3) (2-1 against Brown, Penn, and Yale; Best goal differential against Brown, Penn, and Yale)

  4. Brown (3-3) (2-1 against Penn, Princeton, and Yale; 2-0 against Princeton and Yale)

  5. Yale (3-3) (2-1 against Brown, Penn, and Princeton; 1-1 against Brown and Penn; Beat Penn)

  6. Penn (3-3) (0-3 against Brown, Princeton, and Yale, 0-2 against Princeton and Yale; Lost to Yale)

Cornell beat Harvard in the regular season, meaning Cornell is the top seed and Harvard is the two seed.


In the four-way tie for the final two spots, Brown, Yale, and Princeton are 2-1 against the three other teams with a 3-3 record. But again, the Ivy calls for a singular team to break the tie. We don't have that there, and since Brown and Penn both beat Cornell, that also does not break the tie.


So then we go to goal differential against the tied teams yet again (maximum of six goals per game). Here's where we stand:

  • Princeton: +5 (+8 vs. Brown BUT cannot be greater than six goals, +1 vs. Penn, -2 vs. Yale)

  • Brown: +2 (+2 vs. Penn, -8 vs. Princeton BUT cannot be greater than six goals, +7 vs. Yale BUT cannot be greater than six goals)

  • Yale: -3 (-7 vs. Brown BUT cannot be greater than six goals, +1 vs. Penn, +2 vs. Princeton)

  • Penn: -4 (-2 vs. Brown, -1 vs. Princeton, -1 vs. Yale)

So Princeton gets the #3 seed.


As for the fourth and final seed, Brown gets the edge thanks to going 2-0 against Penn and Yale. Yale finishes at five, while Penn is six.


SCENARIO #8: Princeton, Dartmouth, Harvard win

  1. Harvard (4-2) (Beat Princeton)

  2. Princeton (4-2) (Lost to Harvard)

  3. Brown (3-3) (3-0 against Cornell, Penn, and Yale)

  4. Penn (3-3) (1-2 against Brown, Cornell, and Yale; 1-1 against Cornell and Yale; Best goal differential between Cornell and Yale)

  5. Cornell (3-3) (1-2 against Brown, Penn, and Yale; 1-1 against Penn and Yale; Beat Yale)

  6. Yale (3-3) (1-2 against Brown, Cornell, and Penn; 1-1 against Cornell and Penn; Lost to Cornell)

Harvard beat Princeton last week, giving the Crimson the top seed and the Tigers the two seed.


In the four-way tie for the final two spots, Brown is 3-0 against the three other teams with the same record, giving the Bears the three seed.


Cornell, Penn, and Yale are 1-1 against each other which means we would go to the third tiebreaker, with Harvard being highest seed outside of the tie. Cornell and Penn beat Harvard, which doesn't fulfill the tiebreaker. So we go to goal differential between those three teams, which goes as follows:

  • Penn: +3 (+4 vs. Cornell, -1 vs. Yale)

  • Yale: 0 (-1 vs. Cornell, +1 vs. Penn)

  • Cornell: -3 (-4 vs. Penn, +1 vs. Yale)

Penn gets the 4th and final seed. Cornell beat Yale and gets 5th, while Yale finishes 6th.


CAA


IN: Towson

OUT: Nobody


Here's how things currently stand:

  1. Towson (3-1)

  2. Delaware (2-2)

  3. UMass (2-2)

  4. Fairfield (2-2)

  5. Drexel (2-2)

  6. Hofstra (1-3)

There's a total of eight different scenarios for how the CAA could finish. Here's the slate for the final week of CAA play:

  • Drexel @ UMass (Friday, 6 PM on LSN)

  • Hofstra @ Towson (Saturday, Noon on LSN)

  • Delaware @ Fairfield (Saturday, 1 PM on Stags Sports Network)

Drexel-UMass and Delaware-Fairfield are win and ins. The losers of those games will hope for the best. Here's the CAA's tiebreaker scenarios (h/t to Hunter Peters from the CAA).


SCENARIO #1: Drexel, Towson, Delaware win

  1. Towson (4-1)

  2. Delaware (3-2) (Beat Drexel)

  3. Drexel (3-2) (Lost to Delaware)

  4. Fairfield (2-3) (Beat UMass)

  5. UMass (2-3) (Lost to Fairfield)

  6. Hofstra (1-4)

This is already easier than the Ivy League. Delaware beat Drexel, deciding the two and three seeds. Fairfield beat UMass, giving the Stags the 4th and final seed.


SCENARIO #2: UMass, Towson, Fairfield win

  1. Towson (4-1)

  2. Fairfield (3-2) (Beat UMass)

  3. UMass (3-2) (Lost to Fairfield)

  4. Delaware (2-3) (Beat Drexel)

  5. Drexel (2-3) (Lost to Delaware)

  6. Hofstra (1-4)

Same tiebreakers as above, except Fairfield and UMass are the 2nd and 3rd seeds respectively. Delaware is the 4th seed with the head-to-head over Drexel, while the Dragons finish 5th and are out.


SCENARIO #3: UMass, Towson, Delaware win

  1. Towson (4-1)

  2. UMass (3-2) (Beat Delaware)

  3. Delaware (3-2) (Lost to UMass)

  4. Drexel (2-3) (Beat Fairfield)

  5. Fairfield (2-3) (Lost to Drexel)

  6. Hofstra (1-4)

UMass beat Delaware, which would decide the two and three seeds. Drexel beat Fairfield and gets the 4th and final seed.


SCENARIO #4: Drexel, Towson, Fairfield win

  1. Towson (4-1)

  2. Drexel (3-2) (Beat Fairfield)

  3. Fairfield (3-2) (Lost to Drexel)

  4. UMass (2-3) (Beat Delaware)

  5. Delaware (2-3) (Lost to UMass)

  6. Hofstra (1-4)

The same tiebreakers as the second scenario, but Drexel and Fairfield are both in as the 2nd and 3rd seeds. UMass is the 4th seed, while Delaware is out as they would finish in 5th.


Now to the chaotic situations, featuring Hofstra beating Towson.


SCENARIO #5: Drexel, Hofstra, Delaware win

  1. Delaware (3-2) (2-0 against Drexel and Towson)

  2. Towson (3-2) (1-1 against Delaware and Drexel)

  3. Drexel (3-2) (0-2 against Delaware and Drexel)

  4. Fairfield (2-3) (2-0 against Hofstra and UMass)

  5. UMass (2-3) (1-1 against Hofstra and UMass)

  6. Hofstra (2-3) (0-2 against Fairfield and UMass)

A pair of three-way ties, but very easy to dissect.


In the first three-way tie between Delaware, Drexel, and Towson, Delaware takes the top seed with a 2-0 mark against Drexel and Towson. Towson is the two seed with a 1-1 record, followed by Drexel.


In the second three-way tie between Fairfield, UMass, and Hofstra, Fairfield gets the 4th and final seed with a 2-0 mark against UMass and Hofstra. UMass finishes 5th, Hofstra finishes 6th.


SCENARIO #6: Drexel, Hofstra, Fairfield win

  1. Towson (3-2) (2-0 against Drexel and Fairfield)

  2. Drexel (3-2) (1-1 against Fairfield and Towson)

  3. Fairfield (3-2) (0-2 against Drexel and Towson)

  4. UMass (2-3) (2-0 against Delaware and Hofstra)

  5. Hofstra (2-3) (1-1 against Delaware and UMass)

  6. Delaware (2-3) (0-2 against Hofstra and UMass)

In the three-way tie for first, Towson is 2-0 against Drexel and Fairfield and keeps the top seed. Drexel is 1-1 and finishes 2nd, while Fairfield is 0-2 and finishes 3rd.


In the three-way tie for the final spot, UMass is 2-0 against Delaware and Hofstra and gets the final seed. Hofstra is 1-1 and finishes 5th, while Delaware is 0-2 and finishes 6th.


SCENARIO #7: UMass, Hofstra, Delaware win

  1. Delaware (3-2) (1-1 against Towson and UMass; Beat Drexel, Fairfield, and Towson)

  2. Towson (3-2) (1-1 against Delaware and UMass; Beat Drexel and Fairfield, lost to Delaware)

  3. UMass (3-2) (1-1 against Delaware and Towson; Beat Drexel, lost to Fairfield)

  4. Drexel (2-3) (2-0 against Fairfield and Hofstra)

  5. Fairfield (2-3) (1-1 against Drexel and Hofstra)

  6. Hofstra (2-3) (0-2 against Drexel and Fairfield)

The three-way for the final seed is easier to dissect. Drexel is 2-0 against Fairfield and Hofstra, giving the Dragons the final seed in the CAA Tournament. Fairfield is 1-1 and would finish 5th, while Hofstra is 0-2 and would finish 6th.


As for the top seed, Delaware, Towson, and UMass are 1-1 against each other. They also all beat Drexel, but Towson and Delaware defeated Fairfield so UMass gets the three seed. Delaware edges Towson for the top seed thanks to their head-to-head tiebreaker.


SCENARIO #8: UMass, Hofstra, Fairfield win

  1. Towson (3-2) (2-0 against Fairfield and UMass)

  2. Fairfield (3-2) (1-1 against Towson and UMass)

  3. UMass (3-2) (0-2 against Fairfield and Towson)

  4. Hofstra (2-3) (1-1 against Delaware and Drexel; Beat Towson and Delaware)

  5. Delaware (2-3) (1-1 against Drexel and Hofstra; Beat Towson, lost to Hofstra)

  6. Drexel (2-3) (1-1 against Delaware and Hofstra; Lost to Towson)

In the three-way tie for first, Towson is 2-0 against Fairfield and UMass and keeps the top seed yet again. Fairfield is 1-1 and finishes 2nd, while UMass is 0-2 and finishes 3rd.


In the three-way tie for the final spot, Delaware, Drexel, and Hofstra are 1-1 against each other. Next up would be their record against top-seeded Towson, which Hofstra and Delaware defeated. Drexel did not and finishes 6th. In the head-to-heat, Hofstra beat Delaware and gets into the CAA Tournament. It's the only scenario where Hofstra moves on.


SOCON


IN: Jacksonville, Richmond

OUT: Hampton


Here's how things currently stand:

  1. Jacksonville (5-0) -- Locked in to #1 seed

  2. Richmond (3-1)

  3. High Point (2-2)

  4. VMI (2-2)

  5. Mercer (1-3)

There's a few different scenarios for the SoCon. Here's the slate of SoCon games this week:

  • High Point @ Mercer (Saturday, Noon on ESPN+)

  • VMI @ Richmond (Saturday, Noon on ESPN+)

Jacksonville has already clinched the top spot in the conference.


Despite VMI tweeting out that they have clinched a spot in the SoCon Tournament, they have not officially done so. There is one scenario where they miss out.


SCENARIO #1: High Point and Richmond win

  1. Jacksonville (5-0)

  2. Richmond (4-1)

  3. High Point (3-2)

  4. VMI (2-3)

  5. Mercer (1-4)

This feels like what will eventually happen. The standings also stay the same.


SCENARIO #2: Mercer and VMI win

  1. Jacksonville (5-0)

  2. VMI (3-2) (Beat Richmond)

  3. Richmond (3-2) (Lost to VMI)

  4. Mercer (2-3) (Beat High Point)

  5. High Point (2-3) (Lost to Mercer)

Head-to-head tiebreakers once again. VMI is the #2 seed with their win over Richmond, while Mercer gets in as the #4 seed with their win over High Point.


SCENARIO #3: Mercer and Richmond win

  1. Jacksonville (5-0)

  2. Richmond (4-1)

  3. High Point (2-3) (1-1 against Mercer and VMI; Lost to Jacksonville and Richmond, beat Hampton; More to this)

  4. Mercer (2-3) (1-1 against High Point and VMI; Lost to Jacksonville and Richmond, beat Hampton; More to this)

  5. VMI (2-3) (1-1 against High Point and Mercer; Lost to Jacksonville and Richmond, beat Hampton; More to this)

We have a three-way tie between High Point, Mercer, and VMI. They were all 1-1 against each other and lost to Jacksonville and Richmond while also defeating Hampton.


Next is goal differential within the tie. Here's how things stand:

  • High Point: +11 (has to play Mercer)

  • Mercer: -3 (has to play High Point)

  • VMI: -8 (-11 vs. High Point, +3 vs. Mercer)

If Mercer wins by six goals or fewer, High Point will have the best goal differential and secure the #3 seed. Then it goes to head-to-head, which VMI has and will grab the #4 seed. Mercer is out.


If Mercer wins by seven or more goals, the Bears will grab the #3 seed while High Point gets the #4 seed. The Keydets are out.


SCENARIO #4: High Point and VMI win

  1. Jacksonville (5-0)

  2. Richmond (3-2) (1-1 against High Point and VMI; Lost to Jacksonville, beat Mercer and Hampton; More to this)

  3. High Point (3-2) (1-1 against Richmond and VMI; Lost to Jacksonville, beat Mercer and Hampton; More to this)

  4. VMI (3-2) (1-1 against High Point and Richmond; Lost to Jacksonville, beat Mercer and Hampton; More to this)

  5. Mercer (1-4)

Another three-way tie with goal differential necessary. Here's what we have:

  • Richmond: +11 (has to play VMI)

  • High Point: 0 (+11 vs. VMI, -11 vs. Richmond)

  • VMI: -11 (has to play Richmond)

If Richmond loses by 10 or fewer goals, they will get the #2 seed. High Point gets the #3 seed due to the head-to-head win over VMI, while the Keydets grab the #4 seed.


If VMI wins by 12 or more goals, they will get the #2 seed. Richmond will get the #3 seed thanks to their head-to-head tiebreaker against High Point. The Panthers will get the #4 seed.


If VMI wins by exactly 11 goals, all three teams are tied with a goal differential of zero goals. Which then we would go to goal differential in all SoCon games. Here's what we have as of now:

  • High Point: +16 (has to play Mercer)

  • Richmond: +37 (has to play VMI)

  • VMI: -11 (has to play Richmond)

So with VMI winning by exactly 11 goals, they would finish with a goal differential of zero and the fewest of any team. Richmond would have a goal differential of 26. High Point would have a goal differential of at least 17.


If High Point wins by 10 goals or fewer, Richmond would get the #2 seed, High Point gets the #3 seed, and VMI gets the #4 seed. If High Point wins by 11 or more goals, they would get the #2 seed with the better goal differential. Then with VMI beating Richmond, the Keydets would be the #3 seed and the Spiders are the #4 seed.


MAAC


IN: Manhattan, Marist, St. Bonaventure

OUT: Canisius, Quinnipiac


Monmouth and Siena are the two teams fighting for the final spot. Here's how things currently stand:

  1. St. Bonaventure (4-1)

  2. Marist (4-1)

  3. Manhattan (4-2)

  4. Siena (2-3)

  5. Monmouth (2-3)

  6. Quinnipiac (1-4)

  7. Canisius (1-4)

Here's the slate for the final week of MAAC play with Manhattan already done with conference play:

  • Quinnipiac @ Siena (Saturday, Noon on ESPN+)

  • Canisius @ St. Bonaventure (Saturday, Noon on ESPN+)

  • Monmouth @ Marist (Saturday, 1 PM on ESPN+)

Siena is in with a win over Quinnipiac regardless of the other two results. Even in Monmouth wins, the Saints have the head-to-head tiebreaker over Monmouth.


Monmouth is in with a win over Marist and a Siena loss to Quinnipiac. They're also in if they and Siena lose, along with Canisius defeating St. Bonaventure. Here's what the standings would look like in that scenario:

  1. Marist (5-1)

  2. St. Bonaventure (4-2)

  3. Manhattan (4-2)

  4. Monmouth (2-4) (2-1 against Canisius, Quinnipiac, and Siena, beat Quinnipiac)

  5. Quinnipiac (2-4) (2-1 against Canisius, Monmouth, and Siena, lost to Monmouth)

  6. Canisius (2-4) (1-2 against Monmouth, Quinnipiac, and Siena, beat Siena)

  7. Siena (2-4) (1-2 against Canisius, Monmouth, and Quinnipiac, lost to Canisius)

We will need to use the MAAC's tiebreaker scenarios. Canisius, Monmouth, Quinnipiac, and Siena are put together in a "mini-conference." Monmouth and Quinnipiac are 2-1 in that "mini-conference", but the Hawks defeated the Bobcats in the regular season and get the final seed. Canisius and Siena were 1-2, but the Golden Griffins defeated the Saints and would finish 6th.


NEC


IN: Bryant, LIU, Saint Joseph's

OUT: Sacred Heart, Wagner

INELIGIBLE: Merrimack (In third year of a four-year transition period from Division II)


Hobart and Mount St. Mary's are the two teams fighting for the final spot. Here's how the top six currently stand:

  1. Saint Joseph's (6-0)

  2. Bryant (5-1)

  3. LIU (3-3)

  4. Hobart (3-3)

  5. Merrimack (3-3)

  6. Mount St. Mary's (2-4)

Here's the slate for the final week of NEC play:

  • Wagner @ Bryant (Saturday, Noon on NEC Front Row)

  • Saint Joseph's @ Merrimack (Saturday, 1 PM on NEC Front Row)

  • Mount St. Mary's @ Hobart (Saturday, 2 PM on HWS All-Access)

  • LIU @ Sacred Heart (Saturday, 4 PM on NEC Front Row)

Saint Joseph's and Bryant are locked in as the one and two seeds.


LIU can earn the three seed with a win over Sacred Heart and a Mount St. Mary's win over Hobart.


Hobart can clinch the final spot in the NEC Tournament with a win over Mount St. Mary's. If that doesn't happen, they can also clinch with either a Merrimack loss to Saint Joseph's or an LIU loss to Sacred Heart. Hobart can clinch a tourney berth with a win over MSM, or with a loss if either Merrimack loses to Saint Joseph’s or LIU loses to SHU. Mount St. Mary’s can secure the 4th and final seed with a win over Hobart and some help. They would need Merrimack to defeat Saint Joseph's and LIU to defeat Sacred Heart.


Shoutout to the NEC for creating this nifty chart.


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